SRINAGAR — In the wake of recent seismic activities in the Jammu and Kashmir region, Kashmir Weather, an independent weather forecaster, provided insights to clarify misconceptions surrounding the earthquakes. Shedding light on several key aspects, the forecaster aimed to offer a comprehensive understanding of the ongoing seismic events.
Addressing concerns about the nature of these tremors, Kashmir Weather emphasized that the earthquakes in the region may not necessarily be foreshocks. Citing the historical seismic patterns in Jammu and Kashmir, the forecaster stated that the area predominantly experiences aftershocks rather than foreshocks. Therefore, considering the seismic history, the likelihood of a larger earthquake occurring remains low.
Kashmir Weather stated that it is essential to discern between foreshocks and aftershocks in this context. “Jammu and Kashmir’s seismic history leans more towards aftershocks than foreshocks.”
The forecaster highlighted the recurrence of frequent seismic activities in the region, noting that past earthquake events have been followed by numerous aftershocks, sometimes numbering in the hundreds or thousands. This recurrence pattern serves as a backdrop to the current series of earthquakes.
All recent seismic events have been localized near the same geographical area, leading Kashmir Weather to assert that these earthquakes are likely aftershocks stemming from the initial earthquake that occurred earlier.
As many as seven earthquakes were recorded as Monday’s seismic unrest continued with sixth earthquake, registering a magnitude of 3.1 at 9:13 pm. This tremor, centered at 33.32°N, 76.72°E in Kishtwar, struck at a depth of 10 kilometres.
Shortly after, another earthquake rattled the region with a magnitude of 3.4 at 9:36 pm. This seismic event, also centered near Kishtwar at 33.38°N, 76.62°E, occurred at a depth of 10 kilometres.
The seismic activity extended into Tuesday, with three more earthquakes further adding to the count. An earthquake of magnitude 3.0 tremor, struck at 3:57 am at a depth of 5 kilometres, located at 33.37°N, 76.68°E in Kargil.
Subsequently, the second earthquake, measuring 3.4 in magnitude, occurred at 10:31 am at 33.33°N, 76.85°E in Kargil, reaching a depth of 10 kilometres.
Continuing the seismic surge, the third earthquake, with a magnitude of 2.9, was recorded at 11:18 am at 33.46°N, 76.43°E in Kishtwar, with a depth of 10 kilometres.
Regarding concerns about the possibility of more earthquakes, Kashmir Weather offered reassurance, stating that it is probable for the intensity and frequency of these seismic activities to diminish in the ensuing days.
“It is likely the intensity and frequency of these earthquakes will decrease in the coming days. As far as the present trend is concerned, intensity is decreasing, and earthquakes in the location may stop soon,” assured the forecaster.
With a focus on providing accurate information and dispelling misconceptions, Kashmir Weather aimed to offer clarity amid the seismic events occurring in Jammu and Kashmir.
